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MAGNITUDE OF THE PROBLEM

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MAGNITUDE OF THE PROBLEM

Malaria is a public health problem in several parts of the country. About 95% population in the country resides in malaria endemic areas and 80% of malaria reported in the country is confined to areas consisting 20% of population residing in tribal, hilly, difficult, and inaccessible areas. Directorate of National Vector Borne Disease Control Programme (NVBDCP) has framed technical guidelines/ policies and provides most of the resources for the programme. Indicators have been developed at national level for monitoring of the programme and there is uniformity in collection, compilation, and onward submissions of data. Passive surveillance of malaria is carried out by PHCs, Malaria Clinics, CHCs and other secondary and tertiary level health institutions that patients visit for treatment. Apart from that, ASHA- a village volunteer is involved in the programme to provide diagnostic and treatment services at the village level as a part of introduction of intervention like Rapid Diagnostic Tests and use of Artemisinin Combination Therapy (ACT) for the treatment of Pf cases.

The countrywide malaria situation as reflected in surveillance data from 1995-2024 is given in the following Table: 1.

Table 1: Countrywide Epidemiological Situation (1995 – 2024)

Year

Pop'n ('000)

Tested

Pv Cases

Pf Cases

Positive cases

Pf%

ABER

API

TPR

TFR

AFI

Deaths

1995

888143

83521300

1789774

1136423

2926197

38.84

9.40

3.295

3.504

1.361

1.280

1151

1996

872906

91536450

1856027

1179561

3035588

38.86

10.49

3.478

3.316

1.289

1.351

1010

1997

884719

89445561

1652691

1007366

2660057

37.87

10.11

3.007

2.974

1.126

1.139

879

1998

910884

89380937

1192589

1030159

2222748

46.35

9.81

2.440

2.487

1.153

1.131

664

1999

948656

88333965

1143354

1141359

2284713

49.96

9.31

2.408

2.586

1.292

1.203

1048

2000

970276

86790375

984572

1047218

2031790

51.54

8.94

2.094

2.341

1.207

1.079

932

2001

984579

90389019

1080248

1005236

2085484

48.20

9.18

2.118

2.307

1.112

1.021

1005

2002

1013942

91617725

943783

897446

1841229

48.74

9.04

1.816

2.010

0.980

0.885

973

2003

1027156

99136143

1012302

857101

1869403

45.85

9.65

1.820

1.886

0.865

0.834

1006

2004

1040939

97111526

1025211

890152

1915363

46.47

9.33

1.840

1.972

0.917

0.855

949

2005

1082882

104143806

1011492

805077

1816569

44.32

9.62

1.678

1.744

0.773

0.743

963

2006

1072713

106725851

944769

840360

1785129

47.08

9.95

1.664

1.673

0.787

0.783

1707

2007

1087582

94928090

767851

741076

1508927

49.11

8.73

1.387

1.590

0.781

0.681

1311

2008

1119624

97316158

750687

775523

1526210

50.81

8.69

1.363

1.568

0.797

0.693

1055

2009

1150113

103396076

723697

839877

1563574

53.72

8.99

1.359

1.512

0.812

0.730

1144

2010

1167360

108679429

765622

834364

1599986

52.15

9.31

1.371

1.472

0.768

0.715

1018

2011

1194901

108969660

645652

665004

1310656

50.74

9.12

1.097

1.203

0.610

0.557

754

2012

1211580

109044798

534129

533695

1067824

49.98

9.00

0.881

0.979

0.489

0.440

519

2013

1221640

113109094

417884

463846

881730

52.61

9.26

0.722

0.780

0.410

0.380

440

2014

1234995

124066331

379659

722546

1102205

65.55

10.05

0.892

0.888

0.582

0.585

562

2015

1265173

121141970

390440

778821

1169261

66.61

9.58

0.924

0.965

0.643

0.616

384

2016

1283303

124933348

375783

711502

1087285

65.44

9.74

0.847

0.870

0.570

0.554

331

2017

1315092

125977799

315028

529530

844558

62.70

9.58

0.642

0.670

0.420

0.403

194

2018

1337617

124475724

222730

207198

429928

48.19

9.31

0.321

0.345

0.166

0.155

96

2019

1349006

134230349

181554

156940

338494

46.36

9.95

0.251

0.252

0.117

0.116

77

2020

1372316

97177024

67444

119088

186532

63.84

7.08

0.136

0.192

0.123

0.087

93

2021

1385500

114391977

60187

101566

161753

62.79

8.26

0.117

0.141

0.089

0.073

90

2022

1396937

152049892

75452

101070

176522

57.26

10.88

0.126

0.116

0.066

0.072

83

2023

1417369

164738643

89619

137945

227564

60.62

11.62

0.161

0.138

0.084

0.097

83

2024

1421749

181653330

102028

153472

255500

60.07

12.78

0.180

0.141

0.084

0.108

86

(P)=Provisional

The case load, though steady around 2 million cases annually in the late nineties, has shown a declining trend since 2002. When interpreting API, it is important to evaluate the level of surveillance activity indicated by the Annual Blood Examination Rate (ABER). At low levels of surveillance, the Total Positivity Rate (TPR) may be a better indicator. The TPR has also shown gradual decline from 3.50 in 1995 to 0.14 in 2024. The reported Pf cases declined from 1.14 million in 1995 to 0.15 million cases in 2024. The Pf% has gradually increased from 39% in 1995 to 60.07% in 2024.

Number of reported deaths has been levelling around 1000 per year. The mortality peak in 2006 was related to severe malaria epidemics affecting Assam caused by population movements.

The data in Table 1 shows that Annual Parasite Incidence (API) rate has consistently come down from 3.29 per thousand in 1995 to 0.18 per thousand in 2024 and confirmed deaths due to malaria have been continuously down during this period between 1151 and 86. The table shows the information on indicators by which malaria prevention/control activity in India are monitored and evaluated. Total Positivity Rate (TPR) and Total falciparum Rate (TfR) have reduced over the years 1995-2024.

Trend of Malaria Cases and Deaths 1995-2024

malaria cases trend

Trend of Malaria Parameters in India (1995- 2024)

malaria parameter